BREXIT Article 50 trigger to be pulled by the end of March 2017

The British Prime Minister Theresa May has finally won the power to trigger the BREXIT Article 50, after the Lords, upper house, backed down and passed the Brexit Bill. Two crucial votes in the House of Commons allowed May to trigger the bill to pull the UK out of the European Union. It was thought that if the ‘soft’ option was blocked, either by rebel Tories in the Commons, or by the Lords, then May would go with the ‘nuclear’ Hard Exit Option on BREXIT. Earlier Tory MPs knuckled down to the will of the Whips and withdrew their amendment, guaranteeing the rights of EU nationals currently working in the UK. It also gave short shift, calling the bluff of EU threats against British workers currently domiciled in the EU countries. The BREXIT triggering bill backed the May Government 335 to 287, majority 48.


The Commons MPs also defeated a second amendment on the timetabling of votes at the end of the negotiation. After a long debate the Lords agreed not to contradict the will of the elected chamber. A Tory peer, Viscount Hailsham, who had previously voted in favour of the amendment  said tonight: “We have asked the Commons to think again, they have thought again, they have not taken our advice, and our role now I believe is not to insist.”

The Prime Minister will not trigger Article 50 on Tuesday, after earlier claims to the contrary. May denied that she had been spooked by Scotland’s First Minister’s Nicola Sturgeon’s shock announcement of plans for a second independence referendum. The PM’s official spokesman emphasised that the Article 50 would be triggered at the ‘end’ of the month, regardless of events in Parliament tonight or in Scotland.

In fact the threat from the Scots to host yet another referendum that would split the Union is hollow. It would play into PM May’s hands and would be a win-win situation for her. If yet another Scots referendum were pushed by the Scot’s First Minister Sturgeon, and was successful, the actual timing would occur now post Brexit leaving Scotland outside Europe. And at the whim of the other EU members as whether to allow the Scots back into Europe, given the state of Scottish finances and welfare anchors. A Scots withdrawal from the UK would carry with it the vast rump of socialist members currently inside the Westminster Commons, out of power as they departed with Scotland, virtually guaranteeing the Tories a super majority in the remnant UK into the foreseeable future.

Such timing couldn’t be worse for the Scots. Cut loose and adrift and outside Europe, thanks to Brexit, with an empty fiscal cupboard, attempting to convince the Europeans to allow another broke nation state to join an already financially fragile community. For the remanent UK now free under Brexit,  the departure of the Scots would carry with it the bulk of the Progressive Left / Socialist rump in Westminster, and give the Tory party carte blanche for the foreseeable future. It’d be the making of England and Wales economically as May begins to initiate the switch away from Europe westwards back towards the Commonwealth and North America