Yes, there is a civil war looming in the United States.But it’s NOT what you think


But it will not look like the orderly pattern of descent which characterized the conflict of 1861-65. It will appear more like the Yugoslavia break-up, or the Russian and Chinese civil wars of the 20th Century.
It will appear as an evolving chaos.

AP


And the next US civil war, though it yet may be arrested to a degree by the formal hand of centralized government, will destabilize many other nation-states, including the People’s Republic of China (PRC).
It may, in other words, be short-lived simply because the uprising will probably not be based upon the decisions of constituent states (which, in the US Civil War, created a break-away confederacy), acting within their own perception of a legal process. It is more probable that the 21st Century event would contage as a gradual breakdown of law and order.

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The truth about ‘the lie that is Global Warming’ begins to leak among researchers

Stock photo

Recent statistically anchored and peer reviewed research<https://thsresearch.files.wordpress.com/2017/05/ef-gast-data-research-report-062717.pdf>   reveals that “nearly all” of the warming shown in current temperature datasets from NASA, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Met Office in the United Kingdom are the result of adjustments made to the datasets after temperatures were recorded, calling into question just how much warming is real and how much is pure fantasy.

In the report, titled “On the Validity of NOAA, NASA and Hadley CRU Global Average Surface Temperature Data and the Validity of EPA’s CO2 Endangerment Finding,” authors James P. Wallace III, Joseph S. D’Aleo and Craig Idso examine the accuracy of global average surface temperature data.

“The objective of this research was to test the hypothesis that Global Average Surface Temperature (GAST) data, produced by NOAA, NASA, and HADLEY, are sufficiently credible estimates of global average temperatures such that they can be relied upon for climate modeling and policy analysis purposes,” the authors wrote.

Many people misunderstand how global temperature is calculated. As the authors of the study note, GAST data is not simply the raw temperature recordings. Rather, the data is adjusted after it is recorded to account for various problems, such as “contamination by urbanization.” Because many temperature recordings come from urban areas, where numerous factors affect temperature readings, they need to be adjusted to more accurately reflect the true temperature.

Critics of the most widely used global average surface temperature datasets have said they think these adjustments have been exaggerated to favor the view humans are causing climate change.

To test the validity of the GAST data adjustments, the researchers examined other historical data and known cyclical patterns to determine whether the adjustments were appropriate.

“As a result, this research sought to validate the current estimates of GAST using the best available relevant data,” the authors wrote. “This included the best documented and understood data sets from the U.S. and elsewhere as well as global data from satellites that provide far more extensive global coverage and are not contaminated by bad siting and urbanization impacts.”

The researchers concluded based on their study that “the three GAST data sets are not a valid representation of reality.”

“The conclusive findings of this research are that the three GAST data sets are not a valid representation of reality,” the authors wrote. “In fact, the magnitude of their historical data adjustments, that removed their cyclical temperature patterns, are totally inconsistent with published and credible U.S. and other temperature data. Thus, it is impossible to conclude from the three published GAST data sets that recent years have been the warmest ever — despite current claims of record setting warming.”

“Nearly all of the warming they are now showing are in the adjustments,” meteorologist Joe D’Aleo, who co-authored the study, said to the Daily Caller News Foundation. <http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/05/exclusive-study-finds-temperature-adjustments-account-for-nearly-all-of-the-warming-in-climate-data/>  “Each dataset pushed down the 1940s warming and pushed up the current warming.”

“You would think that when you make adjustments you’d sometimes get warming and sometimes get cooling. That’s almost never happened,” D’Aleo said.

The noted climate-skeptic website Watts Up With That? called the study a “bombshell.” <https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/07/06/bombshell-study-temperature-adjustments-account-for-nearly-all-of-the-warming-in-government-climate-data/>

If the researchers’ findings are accurate, it would mean that the global temperature data most often used to show increasing temperatures are potentially not accurate and that the true global temperature is likely lower than is currently reported, further undermining climate-change alarmists’ claims.

More nonsense doom and gloom from the always politically predictable ‘warmists’

Climate Change is more real, and dangerous, and worrying than ever before because lots of bad weather has happened around the world.
Now that I have handily summarised the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) latest report — WMO Statement on the State of Global Climate in 2016  <http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/1189_Statement2016_EN.pdf> — you have no need to read it.

NOAA

That’s because the report’s only intended function is as a propaganda device to prop up the global climate alarmist narrative.

You can tell this because of certain key phrases that have been embedded in the “Executive Summary.”

Phrases like:


Warming continued in 2016, setting a new temperature record of approximately 1.1 °C above the pre-industrial period…

…against a background of long-term climate change….

Severe droughts affected agriculture and yield production in many parts of the world, particularly in southern and eastern Africa and parts of Central America, where several million people experienced food insecurity and hundreds of thousands were displaced internally…

Detection and attribution studies have demonstrated that human influence on the climate has been a main driver behind the unequivocal warming of the global climate system…

Human influence has also led to significant regional temperature increases at the continental and subcontinental levels. Shifts of the temperature distribution to warmer regimes are expected to bring about increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely warm events.


But most of this stuff just comes from the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report, which was published in 2014. What, exactly, is its relevance to a new report on last year’s weather?

Short answer: none — but this was never the point.

 

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BREXIT Article 50 trigger to be pulled by the end of March 2017

The British Prime Minister Theresa May has finally won the power to trigger the BREXIT Article 50, after the Lords, upper house, backed down and passed the Brexit Bill. Two crucial votes in the House of Commons allowed May to trigger the bill to pull the UK out of the European Union. It was thought that if the ‘soft’ option was blocked, either by rebel Tories in the Commons, or by the Lords, then May would go with the ‘nuclear’ Hard Exit Option on BREXIT. Earlier Tory MPs knuckled down to the will of the Whips and withdrew their amendment, guaranteeing the rights of EU nationals currently working in the UK. It also gave short shift, calling the bluff of EU threats against British workers currently domiciled in the EU countries. The BREXIT triggering bill backed the May Government 335 to 287, majority 48.

AP

The Commons MPs also defeated a second amendment on the timetabling of votes at the end of the negotiation. After a long debate the Lords agreed not to contradict the will of the elected chamber. A Tory peer, Viscount Hailsham, who had previously voted in favour of the amendment  said tonight: “We have asked the Commons to think again, they have thought again, they have not taken our advice, and our role now I believe is not to insist.”

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America’s National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration : Still playing fast & loose

U.S. Congress under the new Trump Administration is now set to investigate shonky climate reports posted by NOAA in the ongoing weather war of Global Warming … or NOT.


The United States Congress is about beginning investigations into  America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), following revelations by a recently retired NOAA ‘whistle blower’,  senior climate scientist veteran Dr John Bates, that his agency wilfully faked evidence, by claiming wrongly that global temperatures had soared over the past 20 years. This contradicted earlier evidence of a 20-year pause, but fitted into the Climate Warming political meme being pushed by some US and European government agencies for Progressive political philosophical reasons. Access to public funding and ongoing research grants were also given as reasons for faking the Climate data.

The NOAA report, strongly endorsed by the Obama Administration just prior to the recent Paris Climate Conference, was used to justify the PCC demand for ongoing cuts in global CO2 emissions.

Dr Bates was one of the top climatologists at the NOAA. He was principal scientist with the U.S. National Climate Data Centre, part of the NOAA, and was involved in climate modelling and data presentation. His technical expertise lies in atmospheric sciences, and his research interests include satellite observations of the global water and energy cycle, air-sea interactions, and climate variability.

Bates has written over 45 publications and was elected to the 15-member board of directors of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), an organisation that he joined in 1986.  Dr Bates revealed that he had consently drawn attention to these data falsefication issues while working for NOAA, but was constently over-ridden, and threatened with professional ending censure if he exposed the data set illegal manipulation.

Dr. Thomas Karl was until last year director of the NOAA section that produced climate data – the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). The lead author of a paper, disputing the Climate Pause, was rushed through the NOAA and the NCEI by Dr. Karl to meet the scheduled expose at the Paris Climate Conference, intended to influence National and International deliberations on climate policy”.

Dr. Karl, apparently indulged in data manipulation through ‘cherry picking’ data that maximised warming models and minimised access to raw data documentation … in an effort to discredit the notion of a global warming Pause.

While working for NOAA, Dr Bates objected to the Karl Report, arguing that it had not been properly prepared, and that its conclusions were unsound. He was over-ridden by a clique of activist Progressives within NOAA who manipulated the data behind two modelling sets.

NOAA’s 2015 paper was based on two new sets of temperature data – one containing measurements of temperatures at the planet’s surface on land, the other at the surface of the seas. Both datasets were flawed.

The land temperature dataset used by the study was afflicted by devastating bugs in its software that rendered its findings “unstable”. The paper relied on a preliminary version of the data that was never approved or verified. NOAA has now decided that the sea dataset as well will have to be replaced and substantially revised just 18 months after it was issued, because it used unreliable methods that overstated the speed of warming. The revised data will show both lower temperatures and a slower rate in the recent warming trend.
Initially, the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space and Technology approach to NOAA, found superficial co-operation. As the probe went on however with dubious data and flawed processes that co-operation dried up. As the probe progressed NOAA repeatedly refused to supply requested information, even under demands from the Congress. Cover was provided by the Obama Administration by refusing to enforce the law, thanks to a hostile Attorney General.

Congressional Committee on Science, Space and Technology chairman Lamar Smith issued a statement which said: “Over the course of the committee’s oversight, NOAA refused to comply with the inquiries, baselessly arguing that Congress is not authorised to request communications from federal scientists.”

“This culminated in the issuance of a congressional subpoena, with which NOAA also failed to comply. During the course of the investigation, the committee heard from whistleblowers who confirmed that, among other flaws in the study, it was rushed for publication to support President Obama’s climate-change agenda.”

CSST Chairman, Congressman  Smith said, the Karl report “retroactively altered historical climate-change data, which resulted in the elimination of a well-known climate phenomenon known as the “climate-change hiatus”.

“The hiatus was a period between 1998 and 2013 where the rate of global temperatures growth slowed markedly to the point of stopping.

“This fact has always been a thorn in the side of climate-change alarmists, as it became difficult to disprove the slowdown in warming. The Karl study refuted the hiatus and rewrote climate-change history to claim that warming had in fact been occurring.

The Congressional Committee chairman welcomed Dr Bates’ public statement and thanked him “for courageously stepping forward to tell the truth about NOAA’s senior officials playing fast and loose with the data in order to meet a politically predetermined conclusion”.

We now await the new President, Donald Trump, who it is hoped will  properly investigate the apparent hiatus in warming.