Realigning Geo-Political Alliances, and Few Paying Attention to the Trump initiatives hidden in plain sight…

Maybe it’s because the complexity is difficult to distill; maybe it’s because some just can’t give President Trump any credit; or maybe it’s because the scope is too challenging to comprehend against the constant belittlement meme du jour; regardless of reason, President Trump is fundamentally realigning international geo-political alliances and almost no-one is connecting the dots.

AFP


President Trump obviously held a long-ball strategy with the Chinese; he’s described the approach in his books and lived the approach in his business life:


At the outset, position yourself at the furthest oppositional point when it costs you nothing; then leverage inward toward your opponent as they expend their resources to meet your stance.

Continue reading

Trump: Apparent backtracking and real-politik in trade.

So far Trump is playing it straight down the line. His much touted backtracking on Chinese currency manipulation is not quite as straight forward as the MSM makes it out to be. Big surprise.

 

Trump

On April 14, the U.S. Treasury Department released its semiannual report on the currency exchange policies of major U.S. trading partners. The report found that currently no country’s policies could be considered manipulative within the context of both current definitions and past practices. However the US kept China, Japan, Germany, Taiwan, South Korea and Switzerland on the list of countries to monitor. The current reported findings are in contrast to Trump’s campaign rhetoric on China, but they are in line with current economic thinking and legal definitions regarding currency manipulation.

Trump’s administration is being constrained by the current legal definitions, case law and by past practice criteria — bilateral trade balances, current account balances and currency intervention policies — used in previous reports to determine which countries should be monitored. Nothing has changed so it’s no wonder the US bureaucracy had the same opinions that they’ve held for the past 8 years.

Continue reading

The ‘Wilderness of Mirrors’ in the Syrian cruise missile strike

The current information war, that is raging globally, makes it difficult to assess which description of the Trump Tomahawk strike on the Syrian airfield at Shayrat is closest to the facts. Even the facts as to whether there was actually a chemical war-gas attack was being called into question. Emerging facts seems to reinforce that indeed there had been a release of war-gas in Khan Sheikhoun Syria and that people had died. Other than that probability we have to enter a ‘Wilderness of Mirrors’ where truth is a very slippery commodity. As Churchill was reported as to have said,” In war the first casualty is the truth”.

USN

At first blush three possible scenarios come to mind:-

#1 Assad launched an aircraft bombing raid carrying Sarin gas munitions and attacked civilians in Khan Sheikhoun killing many innocents.

#2 The Syrian air force bombed a rebel / islamist logistics installations in Khan Sheikhoun using conventional bombs. Secondary explosions suggested that a major rebel munitions and possibly a manufacturing facility had been hit, releasing stored Chlorine & Sarin war-gasses, killing many innocents.

#3 This was an inside job by rogue US security services to tear the initiative from Assad’s grasp and forestall his victory in the Syrian Civil War. Collateral damage saw the killing many innocents.

Occam’s Razor suggests that either scenario #1 or #2 as most probably likely scenarios, with #2 shading scenario #1 based on current information.

Continue reading

LOCSTAT: Major US Naval deployments on 6 April 2017

Carrier Strike Groups
The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower is underway in the Atlantic Ocean for a sustainment exercise.
The USS Carl Vinson CSG is on a scheduled port visit to Singapore while underway in the U.S. 7th Fleet AOR.
The USS George H.W. Bush CSG is underway in a deployment in the U.S. 5th Fleet AOR supporting maritime security operations and conducting theater security cooperation efforts.

Stratfor
Amphibious Ready Groups/Marine Expeditionary Units
The USS America is underway for sea trials in the Pacific Ocean.
The USS Bataan ARG is underway in a deployment in the U.S. 5th Fleet AOR supporting maritime security operations and conducting theater security cooperation efforts.
The USS Bonhomme Richard is underway in the U.S. 7th Fleet AOR for a routine patrol.
The USS Iwo Jima is underway for routine training in the Atlantic Ocean.
The USS Makin Island ARG is underway in the Indo-Pacific region to enhance amphibious capability with regional partners.

Courtesy:  STRATFOR

“Motley Crew”…autonomous warfare, not the band

The next big thing for unmanned naval aviation is a group of unmanned aerial systems that can share information and then assign tasks and make strategic targeting decisions based on available intelligence.

This concept, called Motley Crew, will be demonstrated by the Navy in 2018 or 2019, said Rear Adm. Mark Darrah, the service’s program executive officer for Unmanned Aviation and Strike Weapons.

Speaking at the Navy League’s Sea-Air-Space conference Tuesday, Darrah said there are many factors still to be decided — which unmanned systems to feature, for example, and what the target sets would be — but the goal is clear: Develop autonomous systems that could be strategic, collaborative and efficient.

“Imagine, if you would, different weapons flying in the same airspace, communicating with each other, leveraging a best of breed from each of the weapons and able to make decisions … about which ship to go after, so they don’t target the same ship four times with four weapons,” Darrah said. “This is a breakthrough in my mind that we’ve got to get to.”

Continue reading