Russians dig in strong defensive positions in Eastern Ukraine.

From late October Russia has become more overt in its support for Rebel Ukraine troops, Russian mercenaries and regular Russian Army forces in Eastern Ukraine.

From the September 5 ceasefire between Russia and the Ukraine and mid October there was a reduction in troop movements and deployed weapon systems in the Eastern Ukrainian regions, around Donbas, Luhansk and in the southern port city of Novoazovsk. Occasional sporadic shelling and isolated fighting occurred but no significant clashes were reported.

At lease two civilian truck food convoys from Russia forced passage to the cut off rebel city of Luhansk and reportedly back loaded rebel wounded. By the end of October however the tempo of Russian military movements increased as Russia threw off any pretense about not operating inside Ukrainian borders. Rather than armoured thrusts deeper into Ukrainian territory Russian forces began a consolidation process, in rebel held regions of Eastern Ukraine. Continue reading

Strategic Analysis ‘a Bridge too Far’ when it become Utilitarianism

From a personal perspective much strategic foreign affairs analysis, appearing on the web, wanders dangerously  into that ‘values free zone’ of Utilitarianism. In an effort to be as objective as possible, strategic analysts sometimes stray outside the ethical bounds of a particular value set, world view and moral anchor. This somewhat abstract position, exemplified by a raw Utilitarianism position, renders any strategic analysis less relevant, to many readers with ethical standards Continue reading

The Unquenchable Australian Bushfire Bureaucracy

The end of that great Australian institution, the volunteer country fire brigade, is drawing nigh, done in by the ignorance of greens, the ambitions of empire-building desk warriors and layer after counterproductive layer managerialist protocols. Why use a rake when the taxpayers can be billed for a helicopter. To add insult to injury any increase in material damage and loss of life to ‘Bushfires’ as a consequence of this bureaucratic malfeasance will be sheeted home to bogus ‘Global Warming’ claims. Continue reading

Victoria going the way of Germany?


Rather than benefit in any measurable way from a mad dash into a promised land powered by wind and solar energy, Germany is being forced to beg for coal mines to be kept open because not only are renewables not doing the job they’re starting to cost jobs.

In a remarkable twist of events, German vice-chancellor Sigmar Gabriel has written to Sweden’s Prime Minister pleading for two Swedish-owned coal mines in Germany to be expanded rather than closed or sold.

If the situation wasn’t so serious it would be laughable but not only is it deadly serious it has more twists and turns in it than an Indiana Jones adventure.

Essentially, the German government has signed up for a full-blown “energiewende” program, a grand, green, energy plan based on wind and solar power and designed to provide 80% of Germany’s energy demand by the year 2050. Continue reading