Yemen : US Mission Creep

The chance of US military Mission Creep in Yemen as well as Iraq and Syria appears to be ratcheting up with the departure of the Obama Administration. The further deployment of US Forces in both Iraq and Syria, aiming to destroy ISIS in the Levant and support Syrian rebel forces, has seen a constant incrementalism over the past 2 years as numbers grow. Now the US forces  deployed in Yemen also appear to be ratcheting up, as the US is drawn deeper into the stalemated Yemeni civil war. Comparing Yemen’s belligerent forces over the past two years shows almost no movement in core territorial gains for any side.

Stratfor

YEMEN :March 30, 2017

Stratfor

The US Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), signed between the US and Iran by the outgoing Obama administration, to reduce the chances of direct US-Iranian armed altercations in the Middle East, was part of the de-escalation process that also saw the roll back in US sanctions against Iran. The obverse of this policy was a rise in Saudi and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) concerns about US future commitment to their defence. Especially so after the recent meeting between the Iranian Quads Force Commander Qassem Soleimani with rebel Houthi forces in Yemen. The Yemen Civil War has reached stalemate with both the Yemeni  forces under President Hadi, the al-Houthi rebels in the NW and the al Qaeda/ AQAP / ISIS aligned bedouins holding almost the same regions today, as at the outbreak of the civil war. Meanwhile the ‘peace talks’ in Switzerland drag on with no side in any hurry to compromise.

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On the brink of Article 50’s implementation: BREXIT HAPPENED FOR A REASON: EU MEMBERS LIKE POLAND OUGHT TO REASSESS

Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydło wrote a curiously desperate letter of last resort to the European Union to prevent the re-election of her Eurocrat predecessor, Donald Tusk. She appealed to democracy and national sovereignty. This must have sounded like a joke to the Eurocratic team that decided whom to choose. But all was in vain. Poland alone cast the dissenting vote. Representatives of twenty-seven other EU countries voted for the reelection of Tusk.

Polish Prime Minister Beata Szydło

 

Poland’s former liberal prime minister Donald Tusk of the Civic Platform (PO) party has just been reelected as the president of the European Council (EC). The election has occurred against the explicit wishes of Poland’s current populist government of the Law and Justice Party (PiS). On the one hand, Tusk’s victory has triggered much gloating in the Europhoric, globalist, and German circles. On the other hand, it has prompted confused fury and embarrassment in the Polish ruling circles.

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More nonsense doom and gloom from the always politically predictable ‘warmists’

Climate Change is more real, and dangerous, and worrying than ever before because lots of bad weather has happened around the world.
Now that I have handily summarised the World Meteorological Organization’s (WMO) latest report — WMO Statement on the State of Global Climate in 2016  <http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/1189_Statement2016_EN.pdf> — you have no need to read it.

NOAA

That’s because the report’s only intended function is as a propaganda device to prop up the global climate alarmist narrative.

You can tell this because of certain key phrases that have been embedded in the “Executive Summary.”

Phrases like:


Warming continued in 2016, setting a new temperature record of approximately 1.1 °C above the pre-industrial period…

…against a background of long-term climate change….

Severe droughts affected agriculture and yield production in many parts of the world, particularly in southern and eastern Africa and parts of Central America, where several million people experienced food insecurity and hundreds of thousands were displaced internally…

Detection and attribution studies have demonstrated that human influence on the climate has been a main driver behind the unequivocal warming of the global climate system…

Human influence has also led to significant regional temperature increases at the continental and subcontinental levels. Shifts of the temperature distribution to warmer regimes are expected to bring about increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely warm events.


But most of this stuff just comes from the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report, which was published in 2014. What, exactly, is its relevance to a new report on last year’s weather?

Short answer: none — but this was never the point.

 

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When is enough enough?

Telegraph
They stood in the centre of Brussels. Row on row.
Hands held high, making hearts to the heavens. Showing the slaughtered they were not forgotten. Reminding themselves they were here with love. Looking to show humanity wins. That love conquers all.
They lay in the centre of London, face down where they fell. Stabbed by a knife, rammed with a car, flung, broken, into the Thames, life bleeding out on the curb.
And the news came thick and fast.
A car rammed deliberately into pedestrians on the bridge. Ten innocents down.
A police officer stabbed at the House of Commons. Confirmed dead.
Another woman now, dead at the scene.
Shots fired. An Asian man rushed to hospital.
A woman, plucked from the water.
And I grew colder. And more tiny.
No anger for me this time No rage like I’ve felt before. No desperate urge to get out there and scream at the idiots who refused to see this coming.
Not even a nod for the glib idiots who say this will not defeat us, that we will never be broken, that cowardice and terror will not get the better of Britain.
Because, as loyal as I am, as patriotic as I am, as much as my whole younger life was about joining the British military and fighting for my country — I fear we are broken.
Not because of this ghoulish spectacle outside our own Parliament. Not because of the lives rammed apart on the pavement, even as they thought about what was for tea. Or what train home they might make.
But because this is us now.
This is our country now.
This is what we have become.
To this, we have been reduced.
Because all the while those forgiving fools in Brussels stood with their stupid hands raised in hearts to the sky, another mischief was in the making. More death was in the pipeline.
As the last life-blood of a police officer ran out across the cobbles, the attacker was being stretchered away in an attempt to save his life.
London is a city so desperate to be seen as tolerant, no news of the injured was released. No clue about who was safe or not.
Liberals convince themselves multiculturalism works because we all die together, too.
An entire city of monkeys: see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil. Blind. Deaf. And dumb.
Immersed in a seething pit of hatred, hidden in pockets of communities plagued by old animosities and ancient strife.
These people may have left their lands. But they have brought every tension, every conflict, every bit of fight here with them.
The Afghans hate the Somalias who loathe the Eritreans. As it was before, it is now. London is a city of ghettos behind a thin veneer of civility kept polished by a Muslim mayor whose greatest validation is his father’s old job.
Son-of-a-bus-driver Sadiq.
I see him now, penning a missive about how London is a beautiful and tolerant city, how we are united by shared values and understanding, and how we will not be cowed by terror.
Sure enough, there he was, saying exactly that, just now. Fool.
Even as mothers text to check their children are safe. Including my own, worrying about me as I sit overlooking the scene, feeling fearful of this place where monsters lurk and steal lives away in an instant. For nothing.
I would ask Sadiq to stop talking. Empty words. Meanwhile, banning pictures of women in bikinis on the Underground. How does that help?
Please, no hashtag, no vigil, no tea lights. I am begging you not to light up Parliament in the colours of the Union
Because we are not united. We are wrenched asunder.
The patriots of the rest of England versus the liberals in this city. The endless tolerance to those who harm us, (while the Home Office tries to shift the focus of public fear to white terror) — versus the millions like me who face the truth, with worried families and hopeless hearts, who feel the country sinking.
We are taken under the cold water by this heavy right foot in the south, a city of lead, so desperately wedded to the multicultural illusion that it can only fight those who love the country the most, blame those who are most proud to be British, and shout racist at the 52%.
This place is just like Sweden. Terrified of admitting the truth about the threat we face, about the horrors committed by the migrants we failed to deter — because to admit that we are sinking, and fast, would be to admit that everything the liberals believe is wrong.
That multiculturalism has not worked. That it is one big fat failure and one big fat lie.
President Erdogan of Turkey said there is a war being waged between the crescent and the cross. But he is wrong. Because the cross is not strong. We are down on bended knee, a doormat to be trodden on, a joke only funny to those that wish us harm.
The war is between London and the rest of the country. Between the liberals and the right-minded. Between those who think it is more important to tip-toe around the cultures of those who choose to join us, rather than defend our own culture.
How many more times?
And how many more attacks must pass before we acknowledge these are no longer the acts of ‘extremists’? That there is no safe badge with which to hold these people at arm’s length, in the way the liberals casually use the term ‘far-right’ for anyone who has National pride.
These events are no longer extreme. They are commonplace. Every day occurrences.
These people are no longer extremists. They are simply more devout. More true to their beliefs. Beliefs which will be supported endlessly across our state broadcaster for the next few months until we buy into the narrative that one religion is not to blame.
That in fact we should blame Brexit supporters. For believing in a Britain. As it was before.
Anything but the truth.
This is why there is no anger from me this time, no rage. No nod for those who pretend we will not be cowed, even as they rush home to text their mum they are safe. No surprise that the city of which I was so proud is now punctured by fear, and demarcated even more formally by places we cannot tread; there were always parts in which a white woman could not safely walk.
Now I feel only sadness, overwhelming sadness.
I will walk over the river tonight and look to the Thames, to the Union flag lowered at half mast, and the Parliament below, and I will wonder, just how much longer we can go on like this.

About the guest author
A trained economist, graduate of the Royal Military Academy Sandhurst, Intelligence Corps bursar and qualified marketer, Katie Hopkins spent 15 years working for a global brand consultancy in the UK and Tokyo.

President Erdogan of Turkey melts down over Europe

The Turkish President Recep Erdogan has unleashed invective against the Dutch specifically and in general against the EU as a whole, as relations between Europe and Turkey crash to an all time low. Prior to the recent Dutch elections the Turkish government attempted to interfere with the sovereign rights of the Dutch electoral process by actively electioneering for the Erdogan administration, in another Sovereign State’s territory.

PA

Erdogan demanded that Holland open itself up to the Turkish electoral process by allowing electioneering by the Turkish ‘firebrand’ Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu, and access to campaign in Holland amongst Dutch resident Turkish citizens. Such an outrageous demand by a foreign power galvanised the normally quiescent Dutch administration into a response. They absolutely forbad Turkish campaigning in Holland, and backed up that rejection by banning  Cavusoglu’s entry into The Netherlands.

This ban immediately triggered Erdogan into a tirade against Holland which rapidly grew into a hate-fest against the whole of Europe. The old chesnuts regarding the ban on Islamist headscarfs and associated head and body coverings, because of their inflammatory cultural/political connotations roared back, with Erdogan inflammatory rhetoric, in the Turkish daily Hurriyet, suggesting a return to the Crusades and a ” struggle between Cross and Crescent”. <http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/headscarf-ruling-touches-off-battle-between-cross-crescent-president-erdogan-.aspx?pageID=238&nID=110893&NewsCatID=510>. The Turkish President then upped the ante by accusing the EU of reverting to a Nazi type ‘spirit of Fascism’ roaming the streets of European capitals.

Not to be outdone the excluded Turkish Foreign Minister Cavusoglu, engaged in a most undiplomatic outburst about how a Jihad Holy War would soon engulf the whole of Europe. <http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-fm-warns-of-holy-wars-in-europe-in-remarks-on-dutch-elections–.aspx?pageID=238&nID=110874&NewsCatID=510> .

Once the dust had settled and the Dutch elections were over, Cavusoglu rejoined the overheated rhetoric with, … “When you look at the many parties you see there is no difference between the social democrats and fascist [Geert] Wilders. All have the same mentality. Where will you go? Where are you taking Europe? You have begun to collapse Europe. You are dragging Europe into the abyss. Holy wars will soon begin in Europe.”

Whilst  the rest of the European leaders were congratulating the Dutch Prime Minister for successfully seeing off the challenge from Geert Wilders, the leader of the right wing Freedom Party, Cavusoglu and Erdogan took  to thumbing their noses at the Netherlands, taunting re-elected Prime Minister Mark Rutte: “O Rutte! You may have been first in the elections, but you have lost a friend like Turkey.” Newly re-elected PM Rutte must have thought, ‘with friends’ like these who needs enemies.’

Erdogan continued, “there is no such prime minister here – give it up, you have lost” after Rutte, understandably, declined an invitation from Erdofan and Cavusoglu to dine with them and  receive a further personal tirade of hatful rhetoric. 

Erdogan’s undiplomatic language is symptomatic of his current tentative grasp on power, as he lurches hard fascist right, into a potentially sharia compliant Islamic State in Turkey. By purging most of his opponents, within the former Turkish secular administration, Erdogan appears to be emboldened, however he must know that he has generated a serious groundswell of opposition against his administration. His ‘attack dog’, Foreign Minister Cavusoglu is playing to the semi-literate tailings in the Eastern electorate hinterlands of Turkey, who epitomise the current move towards a single party Islamist State and away from a secular NATO ally.

Threatening the EU with Jihad Holy War and suggesting that Turkey will flood Europe with millions more displaced Syrians and other Islamic populations, appears to show Erdogan’s true face. Threatening to scuttle Turkey’s migrant readmission agreement with the European Union and demanding more ‘Danegeld’ reparations from Europe is classic extortion writ large.

The faux coup d’etat of 2016 in Turkey, using the pretext of a ‘Gullan plot’ against the Turkish State, has swept away much of the expertise and experience within the Turkish Armed Forces, Bureaucracy and Courts. It has also relegated any hope of Turkish admission to the EU moot, for the foreseeable future. Erdogan’s dream of a neo-Ottomon empire appears to have reverted to the back burner for now, as the Assad Regime slowly regains power over Syria. This realpolitik from Erdogan is reflected in his apparent rapprochement with both Russia and Israel. Faced with a shocked EU, a traditionally hostile Arab Saudi Arabia on his doorstep, a galvanised Kurdish threat to his Southern Borders, and a challenge from a Shi’a, soon to be nuclear, Iran, Erdogan needs all the allies he can get.

Expect the Erdogan Administration to turn inward over the next few years as he bolsters his internal grip on power. Erdogan must be feeling vulnerable as his reconstituted ‘allies’ have had recent experience of Erdogan’s capriciousness and he must question just how much support he might actually get from them.